Gable Steveson enters UFC 331 as a massive 92% favorite against Sean Sharaf, and the prediction breakdown explains why an early finish is expected in Los Angeles.
UFC 331 takes place Saturday, Sept. 19 (Sunday morning Australian time), live from Crypto.com Arena.
Who Will Win: Steveson (92% Probability)
Gable Steveson is being hyped up as one of the next big things in a currently lackluster heavyweight division, and Saturday's bout against Sean Sharaf should serve as just another stepping stone for the 92% favorite.
Steveson is an Olympic gold medalist in freestyle wrestling and a two-time NCAA Division I champion. He has also been training under UFC legend Jon Jones, who is expected to be in his corner at UFC 331.
Sean Sharaf has lost each of his first two UFC fights and won't stand a chance against Steveson's powerful striking and elite wrestling.
Top Pick: Fight to End by KO (68% Probability)
There are better odds for either fighter to win by KO than for a Steveson KO (73%), which covers both bases.
Steveson is 4-0 in his professional MMA career, with each win coming by first-round knockout. Sharaf is 4-2, with all six of his bouts ending by KO.
The massive favorite will be looking for a highlight-reel finish, and if Steveson gets too cocky, Sharaf could also find his chin.
Covers Intel: Steveson boasts a significant strike differential of +11.12 per minute, while Sharaf sits at -7.59.
Prop: Fight to End Before Round 2 (74% Probability)
Steveson has never seen the second round in his professional career, while four of Sharaf's six bouts have ended within the first five minutes.
Steveson, who turned 26 in May and only made his MMA debut a year ago, is improving every time he steps into the cage.
Steveson, who was briefly employed by the Buffalo Bills as a Defensive Tackle should find another early finish against Sharaf, who has been knocked out in both of his prior UFC tilts.






