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5/1 Underdog: Can Gaethje Overcome the Odds?

Ilia Topuria is an overwhelming favorite to defeat Justin Gaethje in the main event of UFC White House.

alex

Ilia Topuria is an overwhelming favorite to defeat Justin Gaethje in the main event of UFC White House. The lightweight stars clash on the South Lawn of the White House on June 14 to decide the next undisputed champion of the division. Topuria enters as a massive 5/1 (+500) favorite on talkSPORT Bet, the biggest odds on the entire card.

Every time they count Justin Gaethje out, he makes them look foolish. He retired Tony Ferguson. He stopped Dustin Poirier. He broke Paddy Pimblett. Now, at the White House, "The Highlight" has a chance to do what he does best: spoil another coronation.

Dan Hooker put it bluntly. He asked 100 UFC media members who thought Gaethje would win. Not a single hand went up.

Who Is Backing Gaethje?

Paddy Pimblett (lost to Gaethje): "Everyone's counting Gaethje out, and we've learned you can't do that. I've got a sneaky suspicion that Gaethje might pull off an upset and surprise everyone."

Ben Askren: "That's almost one you'd be willing to throw a few bucks on because you get such good odds on Justin. Maybe he can't beat him, but he can knock him out. Ilia's good, but Justin hits hard and he's very accurate."

King Green: "I'm going with Gaethje. It's hard to go against Topuria, but Gaethje's been taking care of me for years, and I'm always going to be with my boys. It's USA all day."

Who Is Backing Topuria?

Arman Tsarukyan: "It's a waste of time. Gaethje cannot wrestle. He drops his hands. Ilia will overhook him and knock him out right away. Gaethje has no chin. Pimblett touched him so easily, and his legs were shaking."

Jorge Masvidal: "This fight should've only been made if they want to see a dead body. I don't think he has many chances. I think this is a very good fight for Ilia to showcase his dominance."

Demetrious Johnson: "If I had to make a pick, I'd have Ilia Topuria winning by knockout because that's what he does."

The Stakes

The winner walks away with the undisputed lightweight title and a special edition US championship belt. Gaethje has heard all week that he has "no chin" and "can't wrestle." That is when he is most dangerous.

Do not miss UFC Freedom 250 on June 14.

UFC Freedom 250 Fight Card

Lightweight Title: Ilia Topuria (c) vs. Justin Gaethje

Heavyweight Interim Title: Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane

Bantamweight: Sean O'Malley vs. Aiemann Zahabi

Heavyweight: Josh Hokit vs. Derrick Lewis

Lightweight: Maurรญcio Ruffy vs. Michael Chandler

Middleweight: Bo Nickal vs. Kyle Daukaus

Featherweight: Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia

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Written by alex

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AhronFRJune 8, 2026

When its this close and the odds are way off it makes sense if you are betting to take Gaethje... interesting Arman going for Ilia butnput 1M on Gaethje!?

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